Alexander Isak vs Julian Alvarez: Which Forward Should Liverpool Sign This Summer?

Anfield Index

·18. März 2025

Alexander Isak vs Julian Alvarez: Which Forward Should Liverpool Sign This Summer?

Liverpool’s Striker Dilemma: Isak or Alvarez? Anfield Index Analysis

Liverpool’s hunt for a new number nine is heating up, and the latest episode of Transfer Market Metrics on Anfield Index has put two names under the spotlight: Alexander Isak and Julián Álvarez. Hosted by Dave Davis, alongside Dr Phil Barter, the discussion provided a detailed statistical breakdown of both strikers and how they could fit into Arne Slot’s system.

Let’s break down the insights from the podcast and assess which forward could be the perfect fit for Liverpool.

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Julián Álvarez: The All-Round Forward Liverpool Needs?

Liverpool’s reported interest in Julián Álvarez was described by Dave Davis as the “big name now on the docket,” with the Anfield Index team exploring the potential move. Álvarez has been a key performer for Atletico Madrid since his move from Manchester City, and as Dr Barter noted, he has the numbers to back up the hype.

Photo: IMAGO

Minutes Played and Consistency

One of the first metrics Barter examined was minutes played, a crucial factor given Slot’s preference for a smaller squad.

“His minutes this season are 1,800, down from 2,600 last year, but still solid,” Barter explained.
With Atletico now out of the Champions League, Álvarez is still expected to reach around 2,600 minutes again, demonstrating his ability to handle high workloads.

Goal and Assist Output

Álvarez’s goal-scoring prowess is well-documented, and as Barter highlighted:

“His xG per 90 is incredibly consistent—0.44 every season. That’s the level you want.”
“He had 12 assists last season, playing alongside Haaland, which shows his versatility.”

Photo: IMAGO

Defensive work is another area where Álvarez excels. According to Barter:

“He presses, he blocks passing lanes, he tackles—he knows exactly how to play in a high-pressing system like Liverpool’s.”

These qualities make him a strong candidate for Liverpool’s forward line, particularly if Slot wants a mobile striker who contributes beyond goals.

Alexander Isak: The More Traditional Number Nine?

While Álvarez is a multi-functional forward, Alexander Isak is a more traditional out-and-out striker. Newcastle’s talisman has been prolific in the Premier League, leading to Liverpool’s growing interest.

Better in Front of Goal?

Dr Barter compared the two using a direct statistical overlay:

“Isak has more xG, more assists—his attacking metrics are slightly superior to Álvarez’s.”
“Álvarez’s pass completion and defensive numbers are better, but Isak is more of a pure striker.”

Photo: IMAGO

Davis weighed in on Isak’s goal-scoring ability, stating:

“People will look at the raw numbers—23 goals in all competitions for Álvarez, but only 11 in La Liga. In contrast, Isak is doing it in the Premier League, which is worth noting.”

One key takeaway was that Isak fits the profile of a classic number nine, whereas Álvarez offers versatility and work rate—two different styles for two different types of systems.

Who Fits Arne Slot’s System?

With Liverpool entering a new era under Arne Slot, squad structure and tactical suitability are more important than ever. Davis and Barter made some key observations regarding how either striker would fit into Liverpool’s evolving tactical framework.

Slot prefers a smaller squad, meaning signings need to be durable and multi-functional. Álvarez ticks this box.
Liverpool’s system demands pressing from the front—again, Álvarez’s defensive work gives him an edge.
If the Reds want a pure finisher, Isak could be the better option—as Barter said, “he’s more of a refined number nine.”

However, the big question remains: will either deal happen?

Final Verdict: Dream Signings or Wishful Thinking?

Liverpool fans are undoubtedly excited by these links, but Davis tempered expectations, admitting:

“People are absolutely loving Álvarez, but I’m just preparing myself to be disappointed.”

The reality is that Atletico Madrid may not want to sell to a european rival, and Newcastle’s financial position means they are under no pressure to sell Isak.

That said, if Liverpool do pull off either deal, they’ll be adding a top-class striker to their ranks. Whether it’s Álvarez’s versatility or Isak’s finishing, either player would strengthen the attack ahead of the 2024/25 season.

With the transfer window fast approaching, all eyes are on Liverpool’s next move.