Bournemouth v Fulham: 10/1 Bet Builder double looks tasty | OneFootball

Bet of the Day

Antoine Semenyo: Booked nine times in 30 Premier League games this season

Our football props column has a 10/1 Bet Builder for Monday night's Premier League game between Bournemouth and Fulham...

Bournemouth v FulhamMonday 14 April, 20:00Live on Sky Sports Premier League and Main Event

With no win in eight (if you exclude the penalty shoot-out against Wolves), Bournemouth's season is in danger of ebbing away.

Yet are things really that bad?

A win here would take them back into eighth place, which could well be enough to qualify for Europe, while recent underlying data certainly suggests the Cherries are playing better than the results obtained.

Since the start of February, Bournemouth have collected just five Premier League points but their expected points total is up at 11.92. That is by far the widest margin between the two figures in the division.

Over the same period, Fulham have won 15 points but their expected figure is just 10.19.

Essentially, those numbers show Bournemouth have been a tad unfortunate in terms of chance conversion at both ends (with Fulham having rather more luck) and that it wouldn't take a great deal for things to change.

Leg 1: Evanilson to score

Only two teams have had more shots this season and while the expected figures suggest Bournemouth have been missing chances of late, one man who has been finding the net is Evanilson.

The Brazilian enjoying the best spell of his Bournemouth career, scoring six times in his last six games. He's found the net in five of those matches and, with Justin Kluivert a doubt for this one, he may well be the main target in terms of scoring chances again here.

While Fulham are on the up and eyeing one of those European berths themselves, their defence has been far from watertight.

An impressive win over Liverpool last week still saw them concede twice. That was also the case at Arsenal and Brighton in recent away games, while they shipped three in FA Cup defeat to Crystal Palace.

In a team which is creating chances, I like the look of Evanilson to continue his goalscoring streak - he's 9/5 to net in this contest.

Leg 2: Antoine Semenyo to be shown a card

For a tasty-priced double, let's also back Antoine Semenyo to be carded at 16/5.

Only three players have picked up more cards than Semenyo so far this season - he's received nine in his 30 appearances, including four in his last seven.

He's Bournemouth's leading fouler, committing 1.94 per game, and interestingly he was booked by Michael Oliver for persistent fouling against Brighton in February.

You guessed it, Oliver is the man with the whistle for this game, too.

For those wanting less risk, Semenyo is even money for 2+ fouls, something he's landed in six of his last seven games and 10 of his last 14.

Meanwhile, for those chasing the jackpot, take note that one of the three players with more cards than Semenyo will also be on the pitch at the Vitality Stadium.

Sasa Lukic is the Premier League's card leader with 12 in 23 starts, including his last three.

He's 2/1 for another here, not bad when you consider Oliver is averaging 4.55 yellows per game and has shown a league-high five reds, putting him in the top five officials for cards.

However, I'll stick with the Evanlison goal/Semenyo card double which pays around 10/1 - hopefully a good way to kick-off another busy week of football!

More Bournemouth v Fulham: Dave Tindall's in-depth preview!

Recommended bets

Back Evanilson to score and Antoine Semenyo to be shown a card @ around 10/1

Column P/L 2024/25

Staked: 264pts Returned: 292.51pts 2024/25 P/L: +28.51pts

2023/24 P/L: +16.78pts 2022/23 P/L: +68.69pts