Liverpool assessing dynamic forward as they plan for the summer window | OneFootball

Semenyo’s Numbers Show Why Liverpool Could Take a Closer Look

As Liverpool plan for the summer transfer window, one name continues to generate discussion—Antoine Semenyo. The Transfer Market Metrics podcast on Anfield Index, featuring Dave Davis and Dr Phil Barter, broke down the numbers behind the Bournemouth forward and whether he could fit into Arne Slot’s evolving Liverpool side. While Semenyo has undeniable physical attributes and a Premier League pedigree, questions remain over his end product.

Physicality That Matches Liverpool’s Demands

Few players in the Premier League possess the sheer physical explosiveness of Semenyo. His raw pace has placed him among the top two fastest players in the division for two seasons running, something Davis was quick to highlight: “His physical metrics are huge—they almost outperform Sadio Mane.”

This speed, coupled with a high work rate, makes him an interesting prospect for a team like Liverpool, where pressing and defensive contribution are key. As Barter noted, “Physically, I’ve got no shadow of doubt. He does a lot of sprints per game, and he puts in the workload we would need.”

His defensive contributions are another positive. “99th percentile for aerial clearances and 92nd percentile for blocks,” Barter revealed. “He’s a physical unit. He helps out at the back with the left-back, which makes him incredibly useful.” This is exactly the kind of all-round play that Liverpool demand from their wide forwards.

Photo: IMAGO

A Trend That Mirrors Jota’s Growth

Semenyo’s statistical trajectory resembles that of Diogo Jota before his move to Anfield. Davis drew the comparison: “The numbers aren’t headline sexy, but it’s the way they’re trending. It’s like Jota at Wolves—a Michael Edwards type forward.”

Image: IMAGO

His expected goals (xG) and expected assists (xA) are steadily improving. Barter broke down the numbers:

The progression is clear. “He’s trending in the right direction,” Barter admitted. “It’s not huge, but it’s an improvement.”

Final Product Still a Concern

While the numbers are moving upward, there’s still a gap between Semenyo’s output and Liverpool’s current front line. Barter made a direct comparison with Cody Gakpo: “Cody’s xG is still 20% higher than Semenyo’s. He’s outperformed him on every metric apart from take-ons and carries.”

His shooting volume is also an issue. “He takes a lot of shots, 92nd percentile, but the quality isn’t quite where you’d want it,” Barter pointed out. The same concern was raised with assists: “20th percentile for assists, 31st for goal-creating actions—it’s not quite there yet.”

It’s the same problem that has frustrated Liverpool fans with Luis Díaz. “Semenyo does 90% of everything you need but just misses that final element,” Davis observed. “That’s the most expensive thing in football.”

Photo: IMAGO

A Calculated Risk for Liverpool?

Semenyo’s experience in English football is a significant advantage. “He’s played at the lower levels, at Bristol City, he knows the league. That’s a tick in his favour,” Barter stated. His profile might not be at the very top of Liverpool’s list, but his development is intriguing.

The question is whether Liverpool take the gamble. “If you’re going to replace Diaz, you need pace,” Barter said. “And he’s got it. But do his numbers tick up enough to take him to the next level? That’s why you pay the big money in football.”

At an expected fee of £50-60 million, the decision isn’t straightforward. Davis summed up the debate: “Semenyo will be on the list. But is he the first-choice signing? That’s harder to say.”