Saturday Football Tips: Take punt on no cards at 21/1 | OneFootball

Bet of the Day

David Webb: Has a track record for going low on cards in the FA Cup

After returning to winning ways on Friday night, our football props column has a 21/1 Bet Builder for Saturday's FA Cup tie between Leicester and QPR...

Leicester v QPRSaturday 11 January, 14:00

On average, cards counts in the FA Cup are considerably lower than the Premier League and EFL, so I like to try to find a no-card game or two on third-round day.

Bet 1: Both teams under 0.5 cards

The way I approach it is, first of all, to find a referee who is both lenient during the current season and also has a good track record for going low on cards in this competition.

Step forward David Webb.

He's averaging exactly three cards per game in the Championship, while across the last 10 seasons in the FA Cup, 16 of his 21 ties have seen under 2.5 cards, including eight of the last 10.

In his entire FA Cup career, five of his 31 matches have produced no cards at all.

Ideally, you want to match up the lenient ref with two teams high up in their fair-play tables.

Admittedly, that's not really the case here but, sadly, there wasn't one game where all three factors slotted neatly into place - the first time in many years of applying this theory that that's happened.

Still, we have got a tie between two teams from different divisions, which tends to help keep the cards down, while QPR are very much mid-table when it comes to fair play, which is hardly a disaster.

21/1.

Bet 2: Under 2.5 cards

Given Webb's under 2.5 cards record in the competition, I'd suggest putting two-thirds of the stake on that at 21/10 with the other third on the no-cards bet.

More FA Cup: Five third-round upsets to back!

Recommended bets

Back both teams under 0.5 cards @ around 21/1Back under 2.5 cards @ 21/10

Column P/L 2024/25

Staked: 179pts Returned: 182.33pts 2024/25 P/L: +3.33pts

2023/24 P/L: +16.78pts 2022/23 P/L: +68.69pts