The Mag
·3 février 2025
The Mag
·3 février 2025
Some interesting odds on Premier League top four (and other possibilities) for the 2024/25 season where Newcastle United are concerned.
With bookies taking stock after these weekend results, including that NUFC defeat to Fulham.
Newcastle United now with ten wins in their last twelve games (all competitions).
Seven wins from nine in the Premier League.
That defeat on Saturday coming in the twenty fourth PL round of matches.
The bookies and punters reacting to how things now stand in the Premier League table (see below), as well of course, how they are now seeing the underlying strengths of the various teams and squads.
Listed below are the general Premier League odds now (morning of 3 February 2025) available from the various bookies for the 2024/25 season (in brackets are what the odds were after the very opening round of PL games):
Win the Premier League:
1/4 (13/2) Liverpool
7/2 (9/5) Arsenal
100/1 (1,500/1) Forest
150/1 (11/8) Man City
400/1 (40/1) Chelsea
500/1 (40/1) Newcastle United
750/1 (1,000/1) Bournemouth
So Newcastle United now rated sixth most ‘likely’.
At the very top, Liverpool strongfavourites after a comfortable win at in-form Bournemouth, with Arsenal seen by the bookies as the only serious potential threat, having hammered Man City 5-1.
This is how the Premier League table looks today (Monday 3 February 2025):
Premier League relegation:
1/200 (1/1) Southampton
1/6 (1/2) Leicester
1/3 (10/11) Ipswich
5/2 (7/2) Wolves
25/1 (5/2) Everton
14/1 (12/1) Man City
33/1 (20/1) West Ham
50/1 (250/1) Man U
66/1 (250/1) Tottenham
300/1 (7/1) Brentford
250/1 (10/1) Palace
300/1 (40/1) Brighton
500/1 (200/1) Villa
650/1 (40/1) Chelsea
1,000/1 (11/2) Fulham
1,000/1 (7/1) Bournemouth
1,000/1 (250/1) Newcastle United
No offers (3/1) Forest
No offers (2,000/1) Arsenal
No offers (2,000/1) Liverpool
Eddie Howe’s team now seen as joint fourth least likely to go down in the 2024/25 season.
If you are wondering about the Man City 14/1 odds of relegation, this is due to the possibility (probability?) of severe punishment from the 115 Premier League charges they face, which could include amongst other sanctions, points deduction or even relegation. Still waiting for the outcome of that case.
Finish Premier League top four:
1/1,000 (1/2) Liverpool
1/66 (1/9) Arsenal
4/7 (1/7) Man City
4/6 (9/4) Chelsea
7/4 (100/1) Forest
9/4 (9/4) Newcastle United
7/1 (66/1) Bournemouth
25/1 (7/2) Villa
100/1 (11/1) Brighton
100/1 (66/1) Fulham
250/1 (2/1) Man U
250/1 (66/1) Brentford
500/1 (9/4) Tottenham
This is where, like me, I guess you will be giving most focus.
Can Newcastle United bounce back into the Premier League top four and get Champions League football?
Well, the bookies now have NUFC sixth most likely after seven wins in the last nine in the Premier League, following that defeat to Fulham.
Newcastle United level on points and goal difference with Man City, Guardiola’s team in fourth now above NUFC, only on goals scored.
Whilst the top three won at the weekend, we also saw Villa, Man City and Bournemouth with defeats, the same as Newcastle.
Chelsea are on a run of only one win in their last seven PL games, picking up only six points from a possible last 21. They are home to West Ham tonight and the Hammers have managed one win, one draw and one defeat under now boss Graham Potter. Their last match was a credible 1-1 draw at Villa, when West Ham wasted chances to win. So hopefully they can at least get a draw in their derby game tonight against Chelsea.
Newcastle 1 Fulham 2 – Saturday 1 February 2025 3pm
(Stats via BBC Sport)
Goals:
Newcastle United:
Murphy 36
Fulham:
Jimenez 61, Muniz 82
Possession was Newcastle 47% Fulham 53%
Total shots were Newcastle 11 Fulham 15
Shots on target were Newcastle 4 Fulham 4
Corners were Newcastle 4 Fulham 7
Touches in the box Newcastle 32 Fulham 30
Newcastle team v Fulham:
Dubravka, Livramento (Trippier 64), Schar, Burn, Hall (Kelly 87), Tonali, Joelinton (Willock 64), Bruno (Miley 87), Murphy (Osula 87), Isak, Gordon
Unused subs:
Pope, Botman, Krafth, Longstaff
(Catch 22 again for Eddie Howe – Read HERE)
Newcastle United upcoming matches:
Saturday 8 February – Birmingham v Newcastle (5.45pm) BBC1 and BBC iPlayer (FA Cup)
Saturday 15 February – Man City v Newcastle (3pm)
Sunday 23 February – Newcastle v Forest (2pm) Sky Sports
Wednesday 26 February – Liverpool v Newcastle (8.15pm) TNT Sports
(Weekend of Saturday 1 March – NUFC will play in FA Cup fifth round if getting past Birmingham)
Monday 10 March – West Ham v Newcastle (8pm) Sky Sports
Saturday 15 March – Newcastle v Crystal Palace (3pm)
(Carabao Cup final is on Sunday 16 March, so the Palace match would be postponed if United get to the final)